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version of Section C.
C.1 What is wrong with economics?
In a nutshell, a lot. While economists like to portray their discipline
as "scientific" and "value free", the reality is very different. It is,
in fact, very far from a science and hardly "value free." Instead it is,
to a large degree, deeply ideological and its conclusions almost always
(by a strange co-incidence) what the wealthy, landlords, bosses and
managers of capital want to hear. The words of Kropotkin still ring
true today:
"Political Economy has always confined itself to stating facts occurring
in society, and justifying them in the interest of the dominant class
. . . Having found [something] profitable to capitalists, it has set it
up as a principle." [The Conquest of Bread, p. 181]
This is at its best, of course. At its worse economics does not even
bother with the facts and simply makes the most appropriate assumptions
necessary to justify the particular beliefs of the economists and,
usually, the interests of the ruling class. This is the key problem
with economics: it is not a science. It is not independent of the
class nature of society, either in the theoretical models it builds
or in the questions it raises and tries to answer. This is due, in
part, to the pressures of the market, in part due to the assumptions
and methodology of the dominant forms of economics. It is a mishmash
of ideology and genuine science, with the former (unfortunately) being
the bulk of it.
The argument that economics, in the main, is not a science it not
one restricted to anarchists or other critics of capitalism. Some
economists are well aware of the limitations of their profession.
For example, Steve Keen lists many of the flaws of mainstream
(neoclassical) economics in his excellent book Debunking
Economics, noting that (for example) it is based on a "dynamically
irrelevant and factually incorrect instantaneous static snap-shot"
of the real capitalist economy. [Debunking Economics, p. 197] The
late Joan Robinson argued forcefully that the neoclassical economist
"sets up a 'model' on arbitrarily constructed assumptions, and then
applies 'results' from it to current affairs, without even trying
to pretend that the assumptions conform to reality." [Collected
Economic Papers, vol. 4, p. 25] More recently, economist Mark
Blaug has summarised many of the problems he sees with the current
state of economics:
"Economics has increasing become an intellectual games played for
its own sake and not for its practical consequences. Economists have
gradually converted the subject into a sort of social mathematics
in which analytical rigor as understood in math departments is
everything and empirical relevance (as understood in physics
departments) is nothing . . . general equilibrium theory . . .
using economic terms like 'prices', 'quantities', 'factors of
production,' and so on, but that nevertheless is clearly and even
scandalously unrepresentative of any recognisable economic system. . .
"Perfect competition never did exist and never could exist because,
even when firms are small, they do not just take the price but strive
to make the price. All the current textbooks say as much, but then
immediately go on to say that the 'cloud-cuckoo' fantasyland of
perfect competition is the benchmark against which we may say
something significant about real-world competition . . . But how
can an idealised state of perfection be a benchmark when we are
never told how to measure the gap between it and real-world
competition? It is implied that all real-world competition is
'approximately' like perfect competition, but the degree of the
approximation is never specified, even vaguely . . .
"Think of the following typical assumptions: perfectly infallible,
utterly omniscient, infinitely long-lived identical consumers; zero
transaction costs; complete markets for all time-stated claims for
all conceivable events, no trading of any kind at disequilibrium prices;
infinitely rapid velocities of prices and quantities; no radical,
incalculable uncertainty in real time but only probabilistically
calculable risk in logical time; only linearly homogeneous production
functions; no technical progress requiring embodied capital investment,
and so on, and so on -- all these are not just unrealistic but also
unrobust assumptions. And yet they figure critically in leading
economic theories." ["Disturbing Currents in Modern Economics",
Challenge!, Vol. 41, No. 3, May-June, 1998]
So neoclassical ideology is based upon special, virtually ad hoc,
assumptions. Many of the assumptions are impossible, such as the
popular assertion that individuals can accurately predict the future
(as required by "rational expectations" and general equilibrium theory),
that there are a infinite number of small firms in every market or
that time is an unimportant concept which can be abstracted from.
Even when we ignore those assumptions which are obviously nonsense,
the remaining ones are hardly much better. Here we have a collection
of apparently valid positions which, in fact, rarely have any basis
in reality. As we discuss in section C.1.2, an essential one, without
which neoclassical economics simply disintegrates, has very little
basis in the real world (in fact, it was invented simply to ensure
the theory worked as desired). Similarly, markets often adjust in
terms of quantities rather than price, a fact overlooked in general
equilibrium theory. Some of the assumptions are mutually exclusive.
For example, the neo-classical theory of the supply curve is based on
the assumption that some factor of production cannot be changed in
the short run. This is essential to get the concept of diminishing
marginal productivity which, in turn, generates a rising marginal
cost and so a rising supply curve. This means that firms within
an industry cannot change their capital equipment. However, the
theory of perfect competition requires that in the short period
there are no barriers to entry, i.e. that anyone outside the
industry can create capital equipment and move into the market.
These two positions are logically inconsistent.
In other words, although the symbols used in mainstream may have
economic sounding names, the theory has no point of contact with
empirical reality (or, at times, basic logic):
"Nothing in these abstract economic models actually works in the
real world. It doesn't matter how many footnotes they put in, or
how many ways they tinker around the edges. The whole enterprise
is totally rotten at the core: it has no relation to reality."
[Noam Chomsky, Understanding Power, pp. 254-5]
As we will indicate, while its theoretical underpinnings are claimed
to be universal, they are specific to capitalism and, ironically,
they fail to even provide an accurate model of that system as it
ignores most of the real features of an actual capitalist economy.
So if an economist does not say that mainstream economics has no
bearing to reality, you can be sure that what he or she tells you
will be more likely ideology than anything else. "Economic reality"
is not about facts; it's about faith in capitalism. Even worse, it
is about blind faith in what the economic ideologues say about
capitalism. The key to understanding economists is that they believe
that if it is in an economic textbook, then it must be true --
particularly if it confirms any initial prejudices. The opposite
is usually the case.
The obvious fact that the real world is not like that described by
economic text books can have some funny results, particularly
when events in the real world contradict the textbooks. For most
economists, or those who consider themselves as such, the textbook
is usually preferred. As such, much of capitalist apologetics is
faith-driven. Reality has to be adjusted accordingly.
A classic example was the changing positions of pundits and "experts"
on the East Asian economic miracle. As these economies grew spectacularly
during the 1970s and 1980s, the experts universally applauded them as
examples of the power of free markets. In 1995, for example, the
right-wing Heritage Foundation's index of economic freedom had four
Asian countries in its top seven countries. The Economist explained
at the start of 1990s that Taiwan and South Korea had among the least
price-distorting regimes in the world. Both the Word Bank and IMF
agreed, downplaying the presence of industrial policy in the region.
This was unsurprising. After all, their ideology said that free markets
would produce high growth and stability and so, logically, the presence
of both in East Asia must be driven by the free market. This meant that,
for the true believers, these nations were paradigms of the free market,
reality not withstanding. The markets agreed, putting billions into
Asian equity markets while foreign banks loaned similar vast amounts.
In 1997, however, all this changed when all the Asian countries previously
qualified as "free" saw their economies collapse. Overnight the same
experts who had praised these economies as paradigms of the free market
found the cause of the problem -- extensive state intervention. The free
market paradise had become transformed into a state regulated hell! Why?
Because of ideology -- the free market is stable and produces high growth
and, consequently, it was impossible for any economy facing crisis to be
a free market one! Hence the need to disown what was previously praised,
without (of course) mentioning the very obvious contradiction.
In reality, these economies had always been far from the free market. The
role of the state in these "free market" miracles was extensive and well
documented. So while East Asia "had not only grown faster and done
better at reducing poverty than any other region of the world . . . it
had also been more stable," these countries "had been successful not
only in spite of the fact that they had not followed most of the
dictates of the Washington Consensus [i.e. neo-liberalism], but because
they had not." The government had played "important roles . . . far from
the minimalist [ones] beloved" of neo-liberalism. During the 1990s,
things had changed as the IMF had urged a "excessively rapid financial
and capital market liberalisation" for these countries as sound economic
policies. This "was probably the single most important cause of the [1997]
crisis" which saw these economies suffer meltdown, "the greatest economic
crisis since the Great Depression" (a meltdown worsened by IMF aid and its
underlying dogmas). Even worse for the believers in market fundamentalism,
those nations (like Malaysia) that refused IMF suggestions and used state
intervention has a "shorter and shallower" downturn than those who did not.
[Joseph Stiglitz, Globalisation and its Discontents, p. 89, p. 90, p. 91
and p. 93] Even worse, the obvious conclusion from these events is more
than just the ideological perspective of economists, it is that "the market"
is not all-knowing as investors (like the experts) failed to see the statist
policies so bemoaned by the ideologues of capitalism after 1997.
This is not to say that the models produced by neoclassical economists are
not wonders of mathematics or logic. Few people would deny that a lot of
very intelligent people have spent a lot of time producing some quite
impressive mathematical models in economics. It is a shame that they are
utterly irrelevant to reality. Ironically, for a theory claims to be so
concerned about allocating scarce resources efficiently, economics has
used a lot of time and energy refining the analyses of economies which
have not, do not, and will not ever exist. In other words, scare resources
have been inefficiently allocated to produce waste.
Why? Perhaps because there is a demand for such nonsense? Some economists
are extremely keen to apply their methodology in all sorts of areas outside
the economy. No matter how inappropriate, they seek to colonise every aspect
of life. One area, however, seems immune to such analysis. This is the market
for economic theory. If, as economists stress, every human activity can be
analysed by economics then why not the demand and supply of economics itself?
Perhaps because if that was done some uncomfortable truths would be discovered?
Basic supply and demand theory would indicate that those economic theories
which have utility to others would be provided by economists. In a system
with inequalities of wealth, effective demand is skewed in favour of the
wealthy. Given these basic assumptions, we would predict that only these
forms of economists which favour the requirements of the wealthy would
gain dominance as these meet the (effective) demand. By a strange
co-incidence, this is precisely what has happened. This did and does
not stop economists complaining that dissidents and radicals were and
are biased. As Edward Herman points out:
"Back in 1849, the British economist Nassau Senior chided those
defending trade unions and minimum wage regulations for expounding
an 'economics of the poor.' The idea that he and his establishment
confreres were putting forth an 'economics of the rich' never
occurred to him; he thought of himself as a scientist and
spokesperson of true principles. This self-deception pervaded
mainstream economics up to the time of the Keynesian Revolution
of the 1930s. Keynesian economics, though quickly tamed into an
instrument of service to the capitalist state, was disturbing in
its stress on the inherent instability of capitalism, the tendency
toward chronic unemployment, and the need for substantial
government intervention to maintain viability. With the resurgent
capitalism of the past 50 years, Keynesian ideas, and their
implicit call for intervention, have been under incessant attack,
and, in the intellectual counterrevolution led by the Chicago
School, the traditional laissez-faire ('let-the-fur-fly')
economics of the rich has been re-established as the core of
mainstream economics." [The Economics of the Rich ]
Herman goes on to ask "[w]hy do the economists serve the rich?" and
argues that "[f]or one thing, the leading economists are among the
rich, and others seek advancement to similar heights. Chicago School
economist Gary Becker was on to something when he argued that economic
motives explain a lot of actions frequently attributed to other forces.
He of course never applied this idea to economics as a profession . . ."
There are a great many well paying think tanks, research posts,
consultancies and so on that create an "'effective demand' that
should elicit an appropriate supply resource."
Elsewhere, Herman notes the "class links of these professionals to the
business community were strong and the ideological element was realised
in the neoclassical competitive model . . . Spin-off negative effects on
the lower classes were part of the 'price of progress.' It was the elite
orientation of these questions [asked by economics], premises, and the
central paradigm [of economic theory] that caused matters like unemployment,
mass poverty, and work hazards to escape the net of mainstream economist
interest until well into the twentieth century." Moreover, "the economics
profession in the years 1880-1930 was by and large strongly conservative,
reflecting in its core paradigm its class links and sympathy with the
dominant business community, fundamentally anti-union and suspicious of
government, and tending to view competition as the true and durable state
of nature." [Edward S. Herman, "The Selling of Market Economics,"
pp. 173-199, New Ways of Knowing, Marcus G. Raskin and Herbert J.
Bernstein (eds.),p. 179-80 and p. 180]
Rather than scientific analysis, economics has always been driven by
the demands of the wealthy ("How did [economics] get instituted? As a
weapon of class warfare." [Chomsky, Op. Cit., p. 252]). This works
on numerous levels. The most obvious is that most economists take
the current class system and wealth/income distribution as granted
and generate general "laws" of economics from a specific historical
society. As we discuss in the next section, this inevitably skews
the "science" into ideology and apologetics. The analysis is also
(almost inevitably) based on individualistic assumptions, ignoring or
downplaying the key issues of groups, organisations, class and the
economic and social power they generate. Then there are the assumptions
used and questions raised. As Herman argues, this has hardly been a
neutral process:
"the theorists explicating these systems, such as Carl Menger, Leon
Walras, and Alfred Marshall, were knowingly assuming away formulations
that raised disturbing questions (income distribution, class and market
power, instability, and unemployment) and creating theoretical models
compatible with their own policy biases of status quo or modest
reformism . . . Given the choice of 'problem,' ideology and other
sources of bias may still enter economic analysis if the answer is
predetermined by the structure of the theory or premises, or if the
facts are selected or bent to prove the desired answer." [Op. Cit.,
p. 176]
Needless to say, economics is a "science" with deep ramifications within
society. As a result, it comes under pressure from outside influences
and vested interests far more than, say, anthropology or physics. This
has meant that the wealthy have always taken a keen interest that the
"science" teaches the appropriate lessons. This has resulted in a demand
for a "science" which reflects the interests of the few, not the many.
Is it really just a co-incidence that the lessons of economics are just
what the bosses and the wealthy would like to hear? As non-neoclassical
economist John Kenneth Galbraith noted in 1972:
"Economic instruction in the United States is about a hundred years
old. In its first half century economists were subject to censorship
by outsiders. Businessmen and their political and ideological acolytes
kept watch on departments of economics and reacted promptly to heresy,
the latter being anything that seemed to threaten the sanctity of
property, profits, a proper tariff policy and a balanced budget, or
that suggested sympathy for unions, public ownership, public regulation
or, in any organised way, for the poor." [The Essential Galbraith,
p. 135]
It is really surprising that having the wealthy fund (and so control)
the development of a "science" has produced a body of theory which so
benefits their interests? Or that they would be keen to educate the
masses in the lessons of said "science", lessons which happen to
conclude that the best thing workers should do is obey the dictates
of the bosses, sorry, the market? It is really just a co-incidence
that the repeated use of economics is to spread the message that
strikes, unions, resistance and so forth are counter-productive and
that the best thing worker can do is simply wait patiently for wealth
to trickle down?
This co-incidence has been a feature of the "science" from the start.
The French Second Empire in the 1850s and 60s saw "numerous private
individuals and organisation, municipalities, and the central government
encouraged and founded institutions to instruct workers in economic
principles." The aim was to "impress upon [workers] the salutary
lessons of economics." Significantly, the "weightiest motive" for
so doing "was fear that the influence of socialist ideas upon the
working class threatened the social order." The revolution of 1848
"convinced many of the upper classes that the must prove to workers
that attacks upon the economic order were both unjustified and
futile." Another reason was the recognition of the right to strike
in 1864 and so workers "had to be warned against abuse of the new
weapon." The instruction "was always with the aim of refuting
socialist doctrines and exposing popular misconceptions. As one
economist stated, it was not the purpose of a certain course to
initiate workers into the complexities of economic science, but
to define principles useful for 'our conduct in the social order.'"
The interest in such classes was related to the level of "worker
discontent and agitation." The impact was less than desired:
"The future Communard Lefrancais referred mockingly to the economists
. . . and the 'banality' and 'platitudes' of the doctrine they
taught. A newspaper account of the reception given to the economist
Joseph Garnier states that Garnier was greeted with shouts of:
'He is an economist' . . . It took courage, said the article, to
admit that one was an economist before a public meeting." [David
I. Kulstein, "Economics Instruction for Workers during the
Second Empire," pp. 225-234, French Historical Studies, vol. 1,
no. 2, p. 225, p. 226, p. 227 and p. 233]
This process is still at work, with corporations and the wealthy funding
university departments and posts as well as their own "think tanks" and
paid PR economists. The control of funds for research and teaching plays
it part in keeping economics the "economics of the rich." Analysing the
situation in the 1970s, Herman notes that the "enlarged private demand
for the services of economists by the business community . . . met a
warm supply response." He stressed that "if the demand in the market is
for specific policy conclusions and particular viewpoints that will
serve such conclusions, the market will accommodate this demand." Hence
"blatantly ideological models . . . are being spewed forth on a large
scale, approved and often funded by large vested interests" which
helps "shift the balance between ideology and science even more firmly
toward the former." [Op. Cit., p. 184, p. 185 and p. 179] The idea
that "experts" funded and approved by the wealthy would be objective
scientists is hardly worth considering. Unfortunately, many people
fail to exercise sufficient scepticism about economists and the
economics they support. As with most experts, there are two obvious
questions with which any analysis of economics should begin: "Who is
funding it?" and "Who benefits from it?"
However, there are other factors as well, namely the hierarchical
organisation of the university system. The heads of economics departments
have the power to ensure the continuation of their ideological position
due to the position as hirer and promoter of staff. As economics "has
mixed its ideology into the subject so well that the ideologically
unconventional usually appear to appointment committees to be
scientifically incompetent." [Benjamin Ward, What's Wrong with
Economics?, p. 250] Galbraith termed this "a new despotism," which
consisted of "defining scientific excellence in economics not as
what is true but as whatever is closest to belief and method to
the scholarly tendency of the people who already have tenure in
the subject. This is a pervasive test, not the less oppress for
being, in the frequent case, both self-righteous and unconscious.
It helps ensure, needless to say, the perpetuation of the neoclassical
orthodoxy." [Op. Cit., p. 135] This plays a key role in keeping
economics an ideology rather than a science:
"The power inherent in this system of quality control within the
economics profession is obviously very great. The discipline's
censors occupy leading posts in economics departments at the
major institutions . . . Any economist with serious hopes of
obtaining a tenured position in one of these departments will soon
be made aware of the criteria by which he is to be judged . . .
the entire academic program . . . consists of indoctrination in
the ideas and techniques of the science." [Ward, Op. Cit., pp. 29-30]
All this has meant that the "science" of economics has hardly changed
in its basics in over one hundred years. Even notions which have been
debunked (and have been acknowledged as such) continue to be taught:
"The so-called mainline teaching of economic theory has a curious
self-sealing capacity. Every breach that is made in it by criticism
is somehow filled up by admitting the point but refusing to draw any
consequence from it, so that the old doctrines can be repeated as
before. Thus the Keynesian revolution was absorbed into the doctrine
that, 'in the long run,' there is a natural tendency for a market
economy to achieve full employment of available labour and full
utilisation of equipment; that the rate of accumulation is determined
by household saving; and that the rate of interest is identical with
the rate of profit on capital. Similarly, Piero Sraffa's demolition
of the neoclassical production function in labour and 'capital' was
admitted to be unanswerable, but it has not been allowed to affect
the propagation of the 'marginal productivity' theory of wages and
profits.
"The most sophisticated practitioners of orthodoxy maintain that the
whole structure is an exercise in pure logic which has no application
to real life at all. All the same they give their pupils the impression
that they are being provided with an instrument which is valuable,
indeed necessary, for the analysis of actual problems." [Joan Robinson,
Op. Cit., vol. 5, p. 222]
The social role of economics explains this process, for "orthodox
traditional economics . . . was a plan for explaining to the
privileged class that their position was morally right and was
necessary for the welfare of society. Even the poor were better off
under the existing system that they would be under any other . . .
the doctrine [argued] that increased wealth of the propertied class
brings about an automatic increase of income to the poor, so that,
if the rich were made poorer, the poor would necessarily become poorer
too." [Robinson, Op. Cit., vol. 4, p. 242]
In such a situation, debunked theories would continue to be taught
simply because what they say has a utility to certain sections of
society:
"Few issues provide better examples of the negative impact of economic
theory on society than the distribution of income. Economists are forever
opposing 'market interventions' which might raise the wages of the poor,
while defending astronomical salary levels for top executives on the basis
that if the market is willing to pay them so much, they must be worth it.
In fact, the inequality which is so much a characteristic of modern
society reflects power rather than justice. This is one of the many
instances where unsound economic theory makes economists the champions
of policies which, is anything, undermine the economic foundations of
modern society." [Keen, Op. Cit., p. 126]
This argument is based on the notion that wages equal the marginal
productivity of labour. This is supposed to mean that as the
output of workers increase, their wages rise. However, as we note
in section C.1.5, this law of economics has been violated for the
last thirty-odd years in the US. Has this resulted in a change in
the theory? Of course not. Not that the theory is actually correct.
As we discuss in section C.2.5, marginal productivity theory has
been exposed as nonsense (and acknowledged as flawed by leading
neo-classical economists) since the early 1960s. However, its
utility in defending inequality is such that its continued use
does not really come as a surprise.
This is not to suggest that mainstream economics is monolithic.
Far from it. It is riddled with argument and competing policy
recommendations. Some theories rise to prominence, simply to
disappear again ("See, the 'science' happens to be a very flexible
one: you can change it to do whatever you feel like, it's that kind
of 'science.'" [Chomsky, Op. Cit., p. 253]). Given our analysis that
economics is a commodity and subject to demand, this comes as no
surprise. Given that the capitalist class is always in competition
within itself and different sections have different needs at different
times, we would expect a diversity of economics beliefs within the
"science" which rise and fall depending on the needs and relative
strengths of different sections of capital. While, overall, the
"science" will support basic things (such as profits, interest and
rent are not the result of exploitation) but the actual policy
recommendations will vary. This is not to say that certain individuals
or schools will not have their own particular dogmas or that individuals
rise above such influences and act as real scientists, of course, just
that (in general) supply is not independent of demand or class
influence.
Nor should we dismiss the role of popular dissent in shaping the
"science." The class struggle has resulted in a few changes to
economics, if only in terms of the apologetics used to justify
non-labour income. Popular struggles and organisation play their
role as the success of, say, union organising to reduce the working
day obviously refutes the claims made against such movements by
economists. Similarly, the need for economics to justify reforms
can become a pressing issue when the alternative (revolution)
is a possibility. As Chomsky notes, during the 19th century (as
today) popular struggle played as much of a role as the needs
of the ruling class in the development of the "science":
"[Economics] changed for a number of reasons. For one thing, these
guys had won, so they didn't need it so much as an ideological weapon
anymore. For another, they recognised that they themselves needed
a powerful interventionist state to defend industry form the
hardships of competition in the open market -- as they had always
had in fact. And beyond that, eliminating people's 'right to
live' was starting to have some negative side-effects. First of
all, it was causing riots all over the place . . . Then something
even worse happened -- the population started to organise: you
got the beginning of an organised labour movement . . . then a
socialist movement developed. And at that point, the elites . . .
recognised that the game had to be called off, else they really
would be in trouble . . . it wasn't until recent years that
laissez-faire ideology was revived again -- and again, it was a
weapon of class warfare . . . And it doesn't have any more validity
than it had in the early nineteenth century -- in fact it has even
less. At least in the early nineteenth century . . . [the]
assumptions had some relation to reality. Today those assumptions
have not relation to reality." [Op. Cit., pp. 253-4]
Whether the "economics of the rich" or the "economics of the poor"
win out in academia is driven far more by the state of the class
war than by abstract debating about unreal models. Thus the rise
of monetarism came about due to its utility to the dominant sections
of the ruling class rather than it winning any intellectual battles
(it was decisively refuted by leading Keynesians like Nicholas Kaldor
who saw their predicted fears become true when it was applied --
see section C.8). Hopefully by analysing the myths of capitalist
economics we will aid those fighting for a better world by giving
them the means of counteracting those who claim the mantle of
"science" to foster the "economics of the rich" onto society.
To conclude, neo-classical economics shows the viability of an unreal
system and this is translated into assertions about the world that we
live in. Rather than analyse reality, economics evades it and asserts
that the economy works "as if" it matched the unreal assumptions of
neoclassical economics. No other science would take such an approach
seriously. In biology, for example, the notion that the world can be
analysed "as if" God created it is called Creationism and rightly
dismissed. In economics, such people are generally awarded
professorships or even the (so-called) Nobel prize in economics
(Keen critiques the "as if" methodology of economics in chapter 7
of his Debunking Economics ). Moreover, and even worse, policy
decisions will be enacted based on a model which has no bearing in
reality -- with disastrous results (for example, the rise and fall
of Monetarism).
Its net effect to justify the current class system and diverts
serious attention from critical questions facing working class
people (for example, inequality and market power, what goes on in
production, how authority relations impact on society and in the
workplace). Rather than looking to how things are produced, the
conflicts generated in the production process and the generation
as well as division of products/surplus, economics takes what was
produced as given, as well as the capitalist workplace, the division
of labour and authority relations and so on. The individualistic
neoclassical analysis by definition ignores such key issues as
economic power, the possibility of a structural imbalance in
the way economic growth is distributed, organisation structure,
and so on.
Given its social role, it comes as no surprise that economics is not
a genuine science. For most economists, the "scientific method (the
inductive method of natural sciences) [is] utterly unknown to them."
[Kropotkin, Anarchism, p. 179] The argument that most economics is
not a science is not limited to just anarchists or other critics of
capitalism. Many dissident economics recognise this fact as well,
arguing that the profession needs to get its act together if it is to
be taken seriously. Whether it could retain its position as defender
of capitalism if this happens is a moot point as many of the theorems
developed were done so explicitly as part of this role (particularly
to defend non-labour income -- see section C.2). That economics can
become much broader and more relevant is always a possibility, but
to do so would mean to take into account an unpleasant reality marked
by class, hierarchy and inequality rather than logic deductions
derived from Robinson Crusoe. While the latter can produce
mathematical models to reach the conclusions that the market is
already doing a good job (or, at best, there are some imperfections
which can be counterbalanced by the state), the former cannot.
Anarchists, unsurprisingly, take a different approach to economics. As
Kropotkin put it, "we think that to become a science, Political Economy
has to be built up in a different way. It must be treated as a natural
science, and use the methods used in all exact, empirical sciences."
[Evolution and Environment, p. 93] This means that we must start
with the world as it is, not as economics would like it to be. It
must be placed in historical context and key facts of capitalism,
like wage labour, not taken for granted. It must not abstract from
such key facts of life as economic and social power. In a word,
economics must reject those features which turn it into a sophisticated
defence of the status quo. Given its social role within capitalism
(and the history and evolution of economic thought), it is doubtful it
will ever become a real science simply because it if did it would
hardly be used to defend that system.
Modern economists try and portray economics as a "value-free science."
Of course, it rarely dawns on them that they are usually just taking
existing social structures for granted and building economic dogmas
around them, so justifying them. At best, as Kropotkin pointed out:
"[A]ll the so-called laws and theories of political economy are in reality
no more than statements of the following nature: 'Granting that there are
always in a country a considerable number of people who cannot subsist a
month, or even a fortnight, without earning a salary and accepting for
that purpose the conditions of work imposed upon them by the State, or
offered to them by those whom the State recognises as owners of land,
factories, railways, etc., then the results will be so and so.'
"So far academic political economy has been only an enumeration of
what happens under these conditions -- without distinctly stating the
conditions themselves. And then, having described the facts which
arise in our society under these conditions, they represent to us
these facts as rigid, inevitable economic laws." [Anarchism,
p. 179]
In other words, economists usually take the political and economic
aspects of capitalist society (such as property rights, inequality
and so on) as given and construct their theories around it. At best.
At worse, economics is simply speculation based on the necessary
assumptions required to prove the desired end. By some strange
coincidence these ends usually bolster the power and profits of
the few and show that the free market is the best of all possible
worlds. Alfred Marshall, one of the founders of neoclassical economics,
once noted the usefulness of economics to the elite:
"From Metaphysics I went to Ethics, and found that the justification
of the existing conditions of society was not easy. A friend, who
had read a great deal of what are called the Moral Sciences,
constantly said: 'Ah! if you understood Political Economy you
would not say that'" [quoted by Joan Robinson, Collected Economic
Papers, vol. 4, p. 129]
Joan Robinson added that "[n]owadays, of course, no one would put it
so crudely. Nowadays, the hidden persuaders are concealed behind
scientific objectivity, carefully avoiding value judgements; they are
persuading all the better so." [Op. Cit., p. 129] The way which economic
theory systematically says what bosses and the wealthy want to hear is
just one of those strange co-incidences of life, one which seems to
befall economics with alarming regularity.
How does economics achieve this strange co-incidence, how does the
"value free" "science" end up being wedded to producing apologetics
for the current system? A key reason is the lack of concern about
history, about how the current distribution of income and wealth
was created. Instead, the current distribution of wealth and income
is taken for granted.
This flows, in part, from the static nature of neoclassical economics.
If your economic analysis starts and ends with a snapshot of time,
with a given set of commodities, then how those commodities get into
a specific set of hands can be considered irrelevant -- particularly
when you modify your theory to exclude the possibility of proving
income redistribution will increase overall utility (see
section C.1.3). It also flows from the social role of economics as defender
of capitalism. By taking the current distribution of income and
wealth as given, then many awkward questions can be automatically
excluded from the "science."
This can be seen from the rise of neoclassical economics in the
1870s and 1880s. The break between classical political economy
and economics was marked by a change in the kind of questions
being asked. In the former, the central focus was on distribution,
growth, production and the relations between social classes. The
exact determination of individual prices was of little concern,
particularly in the short run. For the new economics, the focus
became developing a rigorous theory of price determination. This
meant abstracting from production and looking at the amount of
goods available at any given moment of time. Thus economics
avoided questions about class relations by asking questions
about individual utility, so narrowing the field of analysis
by asking politically harmless questions based on unrealistic
models (for all its talk of rigour, the new economics did not
provide an answer to how real prices were determined any more
than classical economics had simply because its abstract models
had no relation to reality).
It did, however, provide a naturalistic justification for capitalist
social relations by arguing that profit, interest and rent are the
result of individual decisions rather than the product of a
specific social system. In other words, economics took the classes
of capitalism, internalised them within itself, gave them universal
application and, by taking for granted the existing distribution of
wealth, justified the class structure and differences in market power
this produces. It does not ask (or investigate) why some people own
all the land and capital while the vast majority have to sell their
labour on the market to survive. As such, it internalises the class
structure of capitalism. Taking this class structure as a given,
economics simply asks the question how much does each "factor"
(labour, land, capital) contribute to the production of goods.
Alfred Marshall justified this perspective as follows:
"In the long run the earnings of each agent (of production) are, as
a rule, sufficient only to recompense the sum total of the efforts
and sacrifices required to produce them . . . with a partial exception
in the case of land . . . especially much land in old countries,
if we could trace its record back to their earliest origins. But
the attempt would raise controversial questions in history and ethics
as well as in economics; and the aims of our present inquiry are
prospective rather than retrospective." [Principles of Economics,
p. 832]
Which is wonderfully handy for those who benefited from the theft
of the common heritage of humanity. Particularly as Marshall himself
notes the dire consequences for those without access to the means of
life on the market:
"When a workman is in fear of hunger, his need of money is very great;
and, if at starting he gets the worst of the bargaining, it remains
great . . . That is all the more probably because, while the advantage
in bargaining is likely to be pretty well distributed between the
two sides of a market for commodities, it is more often on the side
of the buyers than on that of the sellers in a market for labour."
[Op. Cit., pp. 335-6]
Given that market exchanges will benefit the stronger of the parties
involved, this means that inequalities become stronger and more
secure over time. Taking the current distribution of property as a
given (and, moreover, something that must not be changed) then
the market does not correct this sort of injustice. In fact, it
perpetuates it and, moreover, it has no way of compensating the
victims as there is no mechanism for ensuring reparations. So the
impact of previous acts of aggression has an impact on how
a specific society developed and the current state of the world. To
dismiss "retrospective" analysis as it raises "controversial questions"
and "ethics" is not value-free or objective science, it is pure
ideology and skews any "prospective" enquiry into apologetics.
This can be seen when Marshall noted that labour "is often sold under
special disadvantages, arising from the closely connected group of facts
that labour power is 'perishable,' that the sellers of it are commonly
poor and have no reserve fund, and that they cannot easily withhold it
from the market." Moreover, the "disadvantage, wherever it exists, is
likely to be cumulative in its effects." Yet, for some reason, he still
maintains that "wages of every class of labour tend to be equal to the
net product due to the additional labourer of this class." [Op. Cit.,
p. 567, p. 569 and p. 518] Why should it, given the noted fact that
workers are at a disadvantage in the market place? Hence Malatesta:
"Landlords, capitalists have robbed the people, with violence and
dishonesty, of the land and all the means of production, and in
consequence of this initial theft can each day take away from workers
the product of their labour." [Errico Malatesta: His Life and Ideas,
p. 168]
As such, how could it possibly be considered "scientific" or "value-free"
to ignore history? It is hardly "retrospective" to analyse the roots of
the current disadvantage working class people have in the current and
"prospective" labour market, particularly given that Marshall himself
notes their results. This is a striking example of what Kropotkin
deplored in economics, namely that in the rare situations when social
conditions were "mentioned, they were forgotten immediately, to be spoken
of no more." Thus reality is mentioned, but any impact this may have on
the distribution of income is forgotten for otherwise you would have to
conclude, with the anarchists, that the "appropriation of the produce of
human labour by the owners of capital [and land] exists only because
millions of men [and women] have literally nothing to live upon, unless
they sell their labour force and their intelligence at a price that
will make the net profit of the capitalist and 'surplus value' possible."
[Evolution and Environment, p. 92 and p. 106]
This is important, for respecting property rights is easy to talk
about but it only faintly holds some water if the existing property
ownership distribution is legitimate. If it is illegitimate, if the
current property titles were the result of theft, corruption,
colonial conquest, state intervention, and other forms of coercion
then things are obviously different. That is why economics rarely,
if ever, discusses this. This does not, of course, stop economists
arguing against current interventions in the market (particularly
those associated with the welfare state). In effect, they are arguing
that it is okay to reap the benefits of past initiations of force but
it is wrong to try and rectify them. It is as if someone walks into
a room of people, robs them at gun point and then asks that they should
respect each others property rights from now on and only engage in
voluntary exchanges with what they had left. Any attempt to establish
a moral case for the "free market" in such circumstances would be
unlikely to succeed. This is free market capitalist economics in a
nutshell: never mind past injustices, let us all do the best we can
given the current allocations of resources.
Many economists go one better. Not content in ignoring history,
they create little fictional stories in order to justify their
theories or the current distribution of wealth and income. Usually,
they start from isolated individual or a community of approximately
equal individuals (a community usually without any communal
institutions). For example, the "waiting" theories of profit and
interest (see
section C.2.7) requires such a fiction to be remotely
convincing. It needs to assume a community marked by basic equality
of wealth and income yet divided into two groups of people, one of
which was industrious and farsighted who abstained from directly
consuming the products created by their own labour while the
other was lazy and consumed their income without thought of the
future. Over time, the descendants of the diligent came to own
the means of life while the descendants of the lazy and the prodigal
have, to quote Marx, "nothing to sell but themselves." In that way,
modern day profits and interest can be justified by appealing to
such "insipid childishness." [Capital, vol. 1, p. 873] The
real history of the rise of capitalism is, as we discuss in
section F.8, grim.
Of course, it may be argued that this is just a model and an
abstraction and, consequently, valid to illustrate a point.
Anarchists disagree. Yes, there is often the need for abstraction
in studying an economy or any other complex system, but this is
not an abstraction, it is propaganda and a historical invention
used not to illustrate an abstract point but rather a specific
system of power and class. That these little parables and stories
have all the necessary assumptions and abstractions required to
reach the desired conclusions is just one of those co-incidences
which seem to regularly befall economics.
The strange thing about these fictional stories is that they are
given much more credence than real history within economics. Almost
always, fictional "history" will always top actual history in
economics. If the actual history of capitalism is mentioned, then the
defenders of capitalism will simply say that we should not penalise
current holders of capital for actions in the dim and distant past
(that current and future generations of workers are penalised goes
unmentioned). However, the fictional "history" of capitalism suffers
from no such dismissal, for invented actions in the dim and distant
past justify the current owners holdings of wealth and the income
that generates. In other words, heads I win, tails you loose.
Needless to say, this (selective) myopia is not restricted to just
history. It is applied to current situations as well. Thus we find
economists defending current economic systems as "free market" regimes
in spite of obvious forms of state intervention. As Chomsky notes:
"when people talk about . . . free-market 'trade forces' inevitably
kicking all these people out of work and driving the whole world
towards a kind of a Third World-type polarisation of wealth . . .
that's true if you take a narrow enough perspective on it. But if
you look into the factors that made things the way they are,
it doesn't even come close to being true, it's not remotely
in touch with reality. But when you're studying economics in the
ideological institutions, that's all irrelevant and you're not
supposed to ask questions like these." [Understanding Power,
p. 260]
To ignore all that and simply take the current distribution of wealth
and income as given and then argue that the "free market" produces
the best allocation of resources is staggering. Particularly as the
claim of "efficient allocation" does not address the obvious question:
"efficient" for whose benefit? For the idealisation of freedom in and
through the market ignores the fact that this freedom is very limited
in scope to great numbers of people as well as the consequences to the
individuals concerned by the distribution of purchasing power amongst
them that the market throws up (rooted, of course in the original
endowments). Which, of course, explains why, even if these parables
of economics were true, anarchists would still oppose capitalism. We
extend Thomas Jefferson's comment that the "earth belongs always to the
living generation" to economic institutions as well as political -- the
past should not dominate the present and the future (Jefferson: "Can
one generation bind another and all others in succession forever? I
think not. The Creator has made the earth for the living, not for the
dead. Rights and powers can only belong to persons, not to things, not
to mere matter unendowed with will"). For, as Malatesta argued, people
should "not have the right . . . to subject people to their rule and
even less of bequeathing to the countless successions of their
descendants the right to dominate and exploit future generations."
[At the Cafe, p. 48]
Then there is the strange co-incidence that "value free" economics
generally ends up blaming all the problems of capitalism on workers.
Unemployment? Recession? Low growth? Wages are too high! Proudhon summed
up capitalist economic theory well when he stated that "Political economy
-- that is, proprietary despotism -- can never be in the wrong: it must
be the proletariat." [System of Economical Contradictions, p. 187] And
little has changed since 1846 (or 1776!) when it comes to economics
"explaining" capitalism's problems (such as the business cycle or
unemployment).
As such, it is hard to consider economics as "value free" when economists
regularly attack unions while being silent or supportive of big business.
According to neo-classical economic theory, both are meant to be equally
bad for the economy but you would be hard pressed to find many economists
who would urge the breaking up of corporations into a multitude of small
firms as their theory demands, the number who will thunder against
"monopolistic" labour is substantially higher (ironically, as we note in
section C.1.4, their own theory shows that they must urge the break up of
corporations or support unions for, otherwise, unorganised labour is
exploited). Apparently arguing that high wages are always bad but high
profits are always good is value free.
So while big business is generally ignored (in favour of arguments
that the economy works "as if" it did not exist), unions are rarely
given such favours. Unlike, say, transnational corporations, unions
are considered monopolistic. Thus we see the strange situation of
economists (or economics influenced ideologies like right-wing
"libertarians") enthusiastically defending companies that raise
their prices in the wake of, say, a natural disaster and making
windfall profits while, at the same time, attacking workers who
decide to raise their wages by striking for being selfish. It
is, of course, unlikely that they would let similar charges against
bosses pass without comment. But what can you expect from an ideology
which presents unemployment as a good thing (namely, increased leisure
-- see section C.1.5) and being rich as, essentially, a disutility
(the pain of abstaining from present consumption falls heaviest on
those with wealth -- see section C.2.7).
Ultimately, only economists would argue, with a straight face, that
the billionaire owner of a transnational corporation is exploited
when the workers in his sweatshops successfully form a union
(usually in the face of the economic and political power wielded
by their boss). Yet that is what many economists argue: the
transnational corporation is not a monopoly but the union is
and monopolies exploit others! Of course, they rarely state it
as bluntly as that. Instead they suggest that unions get higher
wages for their members be forcing other workers to take less
pay (i.e. by exploiting them). So when bosses break unions they
are doing this not to defend their profits and power but really
to raise the standard of other, less fortunate, workers? Hardly.
In reality, of course, the reason why unions are so disliked by
economics is that bosses, in general, hate them. Under capitalism,
labour is a cost and higher wages means less profits (all things
being equal). Hence the need to demonise unions, for one of the
less understood facts is that while unions increase wages for
members, they also increase wages for non-union workers. This
should not be surprising as non-union companies have to raise
wages stop their workers unionising and to compete for the best
workers who will be drawn to the better pay and conditions of
union shops (as we discuss in section C.9, the neoclassical
model of the labour market is seriously flawed).
Which brings us to another key problem with the claim that economics
is "value free," namely the fact that it takes the current class
system of capitalism and its distribution of wealth as not only a
fact but as an ideal. This is because economics is based on the
need to be able to differentiate between each factor of production
in order to determine if it is being used optimally. In other words,
the given class structure of capitalism is required to show that an
economy uses the available resources efficiently or not. It
claims to be "value free" simply because it embeds the economic
relationships of capitalist society into its assumptions about
nature.
Yet it is impossible to define profit, rent and interest independently
of the class structure of any given society. Therefore, this "type of
distribution is the peculiarity of capitalism. Under feudalism the
surplus was extracted as land rent. In an artisan economy each commodity
is produced by a men with his own tools; the distinction between wages
and profits has no meaning there." This means that "the very essence of
the theory is bound up with a particular institution -- wage labour.
The central doctrine is that 'wages tend to equal marginal product of
labour.' Obviously this has no meaning for a peasant household where
all share the work and the income of their holding according to the
rules of family life; nor does it apply in a [co-operative] where,
the workers' council has to decide what part of net proceeds to allot
to investment, what part to a welfare found and what part to distribute
as wage." [Joan Robinson, Collected Economic Papers, p. 26 and p. 130]
This means that the "universal" principles of economics end up by making
any economy which does not share the core social relations of capitalism
inherently "inefficient." If, for example, workers own all three "factors
of production" (labour, land and capital) then the "value-free" laws of
economics concludes that this will be inefficient. As there is only
"income", it is impossible to say which part of it is attributable to
labour, land or machinery and, consequently, if these factors are being
efficiently used. This means that the "science" of economics is bound
up with the current system and its specific class structure and,
therefore, as a "ruling class paradigm, the competitive model" has
the "substantial" merit that "it can be used to rule off the agenda
any proposals for substantial reform or intervention detrimental to
large economic interests . . . as the model allows (on its assumptions)
a formal demonstration that these would reduce efficiency." [Edward S.
Herman, "The Selling of Market Economics," pp. 173-199, New
Ways of Knowing, Marcus G. Raskin and Herbert J. Bernstein
(eds.), p. 178]
Then there are the methodological assumptions based on individualism.
By concentrating on individual choices, economics abstracts from
the social system within which such choices are made and what
influences them. Thus, for example, the analysis of the causes of
poverty is turned towards the failings of individuals rather than
the system as a whole (to be poor becomes a personal stigma). That
the reality on the ground bears little resemblance to the myth
matters little -- when people with two jobs still fail to earn
enough to feed their families, it seems ridiculous to call them
lazy or selfish. It suggests a failure in the system, not in the
poor themselves. An individualistic analysis is guaranteed to
exclude, by definition, the impact of class, inequality, social
hierarchies and economic/social power and any analysis of any
inherent biases in a given economic system, its distribution of
wealth and, consequently, its distribution of income between
classes.
This abstracting of individuals from their social surroundings results
in the generating economic "laws" which are applicable for all
individuals, in all societies, for all times. This results in all
concrete instances, no matter how historically different, being
treated as expressions of the same universal concept. In this way the
uniqueness of contemporary society, namely its basis in wage labour,
is ignored ("The period through which we are passing . . . is
distinguished by a special characteristic -- WAGES." [Proudhon,
Op. Cit., p. 199]). Such a perspective
cannot help being ideological rather than scientific. By trying to
create a theory applicable for all time (and so, apparently, value
free) they just hide the fact their theory assumes and justifies
the inequalities of capitalism (for example, the assumption of given
needs and distribution of wealth and income secretly introduces the
social relations of the current society back into the model, something
which the model had supposedly abstracted from). By stressing
individualism, scarcity and competition, in reality economic analysis
reflects nothing more than the dominant ideological conceptions found
in capitalist society. Every few economic systems or societies in
the history of humanity have actually reflected these aspects of
capitalism (indeed, a lot of state violence has been used to create
these conditions by breaking up traditional forms of society, property
rights and customs in favour of those desired by the current ruling
elite).
The very general nature of the various theories of profit, interest
and rent should send alarm bells ringing. Their authors
construct these theories based on the deductive method and stress
how they are applicable in every social and economic system. In
other words, the theories are just that, theories derived independently
of the facts of the society they are in. It seems somewhat strange, to
say the least, to develop a theory of, say, interest independently
of the class system within which it is charged but this is precisely
what these "scientists" do. It is understandable why. By ignoring
the current system and its classes and hierarchies, the economic
aspects of this system can be justified in terms of appeals to
universal human existence. This will raise less objections than
saying, for example, that interest exists because the rich will
only part with their money if they get more in return and the
poor will pay for this because they have little choice due to
their socio-economic situation. Far better to talk about "time
preference" rather than the reality of class society (see
section C.2.6).
Neoclassical economics, in effect, took the "political" out of
"political economy" by taking capitalist society for granted along
with its class system, its hierarchies and its inequalities. This
is reflected in the terminology used. These days even the term
capitalism has gone out of fashion, replaced with the approved
terms "market system," the "free market" or "free enterprise." Yet,
as Chomsky noted, terms such as "free enterprise" are used "to
designate a system of autocratic governance of the economy in
which neither the community nor the workforce has any role (a
system we would call 'fascist' if translated to the political
sphere)." [Language and Politics, p. 175] As such, it seems
hardly "value-free" to proclaim a system free when, in reality,
most people are distinctly not free for most of their waking
hours and whose choices outside production are influenced by
the inequality of wealth and power which that system of production
create.
This shift in terminology reflects a political necessity. It
effectively removes the role of wealth (capital) from the economy.
Instead of the owners and manager of capital being in control or,
at the very least, having significant impact on social events, we
have the impersonal activity of "the markets" or "market forces."
That such a change in terminology is the interest of those whose
money accords them power and influence goes without saying. By
focusing on the market, economics helps hide the real sources of
power in an economy and attention is drawn away from such a key
questions of how money (wealth) produces power and how it skews
the "free market" in its favour. All in all, as dissident economist
John Kenneth Galbraith once put it, "[w]hat economists believe and
teach is rarely hostile to the institutions that reflect the
dominant economic power. Not to notice this takes effort, although
many succeed." [The Essential Galbraith, p. 180]
This becomes obvious when we look at how the advice economics gives
to working class people. In theory, economics is based on individualism
and competition yet when it comes to what workers should do, the
"laws" of economics suddenly switch. The economist will now deny
that competition is a good idea and instead urge that the workers
co-operate (i.e. obey) their boss rather than compete (i.e. struggle
over the division of output and authority in the workplace). They
will argue that there is "harmony of interests" between worker
and boss, that it is in the self-interest of workers not to be
selfish but rather to do whatever the boss asks to further the
bosses interests (i.e. profits).
That this perspective implicitly recognises the dependent position
of workers, goes without saying. So while the sale of labour is
portrayed as a market exchange between equals, it is in fact an
authority relation between servant and master. The conclusions
of economics is simply implicitly acknowledging that authoritarian
relationship by identifying with the authority figure in the
relationship and urging obedience to them. It simply suggests
workers make the best of it by refusing to be independent individuals
who need freedom to flourish (at least during working hours, outside
they can express their individuality by shopping).
This should come as no surprise, for, as Chomsky notes, economics
is rooted in the notion that "you only harm the poor by making
them believe that they have rights other than what they can win
on the market, like a basic right to live, because that kind
of right interferes with the market, and with efficiency, and
with growth and so on -- so ultimately people will just be worse off
if you try to recognise them." [Op. Cit., p. 251] Economics teaches
that you must accept change without regard to whether it is appropriate
it not. It teaches that you must not struggle, you must not fight. You
must simply accept whatever change happens. Worse, it teaches that
resisting and fighting back are utterly counter-productive. In other
words, it teaches a servile mentality to those subject to authority.
For business, economics is ideal for getting their employees to change
their attitudes rather than collectively change how their bosses treat
them, structure their jobs or how they are paid -- or, of course,
change the system.
Of course, the economist who says that they are conducting "value free"
analysis are indifferent to the kinds of relationships within society is
being less than honest. Capitalist economic theory is rooted in very
specific assumptions and concepts such as "economic man" and "perfect
competition." It claims to be "value-free" yet its preferred terminology
is riddled with value connotations. For example, the behaviour of "economic
man" (i.e., people who are self-interested utility maximisation machines)
is described as "rational." By implication, then, the behaviour of real
people is "irrational" whenever they depart from this severely truncated
account of human nature and society. Our lives consist of much more than
buying and selling. We have goals and concerns which cannot be bought or
sold in markets. In other words, humanity and liberty transcend the limits
of property and, as a result, economics. This, unsurprisingly, affects
those who study the "science" as well:
"Studying economics also seems to make you a nastier person. Psychological
studies have shown that economics graduate students are more likely to
'free ride' -- shirk contributions to an experimental 'public goods'
account in the pursuit of higher private returns -- than the general
public. Economists also are less generous that other academics in
charitable giving. Undergraduate economics majors are more likely to
defect in the classic prisoner's dilemma game that are other majors.
And on other tests, students grow less honest -- expressing less of
a tendency, for example, to return found money -- after studying
economics, but not studying a control subject like astronomy.
"This is no surprise, really. Mainstream economics is built entirely
on a notion of self-interested individuals, rational self-maximisers
who can order their wants and spend accordingly. There's little room
for sentiment, uncertainty, selflessness, and social institutions.
Whether this is an accurate picture of the average human is open to
question, but there's no question that capitalism as a system and
economics as a discipline both reward people who conform to the
model." [Doug Henwood, Wall Street, p, 143]
So is economics "value free"? Far from it. Given its social role, it
would be surprising that it were. That it tends to produce policy
recommendations that benefit the capitalist class is not an accident.
It is rooted in the fibre of the "science" as it reflects the
assumptions of capitalist society and its class structure. Not only
does it take the power and class structures of capitalism for granted,
it also makes them the ideal for any and every economy. Given this,
it should come as no surprise that economists will tend to support
policies which will make the real world conform more closely to
the standard (usually neoclassical) economic model. Thus the
models of economics become more than a set of abstract assumptions,
used simply as a tool in theoretical analysis of the casual
relations of facts. Rather they become political goals, an ideal
towards which reality should be forced to travel.
This means that economics has a dual character. On the one hand,
it attempts to prove that certain things (for example, that free
market capitalism produces an optimum allocation of resources or
that, given free competition, price formation will ensure that each
person's income corresponds to their productive contribution). On
the other, economists stress that economic "science" has nothing to
do with the question of the justice of existing institutions,
class structures or the current economic system. And some people
seem surprised that this results in policy recommendations which
consistently and systematically favour the ruling class.
In a word, no. If by "scientific" it is meant in the usual sense of
being based on empirical observation and on developing an analysis
that was consistent with and made sense of the data, then most forms
of economics are not a science.
Rather than base itself on a study of reality and the generalisation
of theory based on the data gathered, economics has almost always been
based on generating theories rooted on whatever assumptions were required
to make the theory work. Empirical confirmation, if it happens at all,
is usually done decades later and if the facts contradict the economics,
so much the worse for the facts.
A classic example of this is the neo-classical theory of production.
As noted previously, neoclassical economics is focused on individual
evaluations of existing products and, unsurprisingly, economics is
indelibly marked by "the dominance of a theoretical vision that treats
the inner workings of the production process as a 'black box.'" This
means that the "neoclassical theory of the 'capitalist' economy makes
no qualitative distinction between the corporate enterprise that
employs tens of thousands of people and the small family undertaking
that does no employ any wage labour at all. As far as theory is
concerned, it is technology and market forces, not structures of
social power, that govern the activities of corporate capitalists
and petty proprietors alike." [David Lazonick, Competitive Advantage
on the Shop Floor, p. 34 and pp. 33-4] Production in this schema
just happens -- inputs go in, outputs go out -- and what happens
inside is considered irrelevant, a technical issue independent of the
social relationships those who do the actual production form between
themselves -- and the conflicts that ensure.
The theory does have a few key assumptions associated with it, however.
First, there are diminishing returns. This plays a central role. In
mainstream diminishing returns are required to produce a downward
sloping demand curve for a given factor. Second, there is a rising
supply curve based on rising marginal costs produced by diminishing
returns. The average variable cost curve for a firm is assumed to be
U-shaped, the result of first increasing and then diminishing returns.
These are logically necessary for the neo-classical theory to work.
Non-economists would, of course, think that these assumptions are
generalisations based on empirical evidence. However, they are not.
Take the U-shaped average cost curve. This was simply invented by
A. C. Pigou, "a loyal disciple of [leading neo-classical Alfred]
Marshall and quite innocent of any knowledge of industry. He therefore
constructed a U-shaped average cost curve for a firm, showing economies
of scale up to a certain size and rising costs beyond it." [Joan
Robinson, Collected Economic Papers, vol. 5, p. 11] The invention
was driven by need of the theory, not the facts. With increasing
returns to scale, then large firms would have cost advantages against
small ones and would drive them out of business in competition. This
would destroy the concept of perfect competition. However, the
invention of the average cost curve allowed the theory to work as
"proved" that a competitive market could not become dominated by
a few large firms, as feared.
The model, in other words, was adjusted to ensure that it produced
the desired result rather than reflect reality. The theory was
required to prove that markets remained competitive and the
existence of diminishing marginal returns to scale of production
did tend by itself to limit the size of individual firms. That
markets did become dominated by a few large firms was neither here
nor there. It did not happen in theory and, consequently, that
was the important thing and so "when the great concentrations of
power in the multinational corporations are bringing the age of
national employment policy to an end, the text books are still
illustrated by U-shaped curves showing the limitation on the
size of firms in a perfectly competitive market." [Joan Robinson,
Contributions to Modern Economics, p. 5]
To be good, a theory must have two attributes: They accurately describe
the phenomena in question and they make accurate predictions. Neither
holds for Pigou's invention: reality keeps getting in the way. Not only
did the rise of a few large firms dominating markets indirectly show that
the theory was nonsense, when empirical testing was finally done decades
after the theory was proposed it showed that in most cases the opposite
is the case: that there were constant or even falling costs in production.
Just as the theories of marginality and diminishing marginal returns
taking over economics, the real world was showing how wrong it was with
the rise of corporations across the world.
So the reason why the market become dominated by a few firms should be
obvious enough: actual corporate price is utterly different from the
economic theory. This was discovered when researchers did what the
original theorists did not think was relevant: they actually asked
firms what they did and the researchers consistently found that, for
the vast majority of manufacturing firms their average costs of
production declined as output rose, their marginal costs were
always well below their average costs, and substantially smaller
than 'marginal revenue', and the concept of a 'demand curve' (and
therefore its derivative 'marginal revenue') was simply irrelevant.
Unsurprisingly, real firms set their prices prior to sales, based on a
mark-up on costs at a target rate of output. In other words, they did
not passively react to the market. These prices are an essential feature
of capitalism as prices are set to maintain the long-term viability of
the firm. This, and the underlying reality that per-unit costs fell as
output levels rose, resulted in far more stable prices than were
predicted by traditional economic theory. One researcher concluded
that administered prices "differ so sharply from the behaviour to be
expected from" the theory "as to challenge the basic conclusions" of
it. He warned that until such time as "economic theory can explain
and take into account the implications" of this empirical data, "it
provides a poor basis for public policy." Needless to say, this did
not disturb neo-classical economists or stop them providing public
policy recommendations. [Gardiner C. Means, "The Administered-Price
Thesis Reconfirmed", The American Economic Review, pp. 292-306,
Vol. 62, No. 3, p. 304]
One study in 1952 showed firms a range of hypothetical cost curves,
and asked firms which ones most closely approximated their own costs.
Over 90% of firms chose a graph with a declining average cost rather
than one showing the conventional economic theory of rising marginal
costs. These firms faced declining average cost, and their marginal
revenues were much greater than marginal cost at all levels of output.
Unsurprisingly, the study's authors concluded if this sample was typical
then it was "obvious that short-run marginal price theory should be
revised in the light of reality." We are still waiting. [Eiteman and
Guthrie, "The Shape of the Average Cost Curve", The American Economic
Review, pp. 832-8, Vol. 42, No. 5, p. 838]
A more recent study of the empirical data came to the same conclusions,
arguing that it is "overwhelming bad news . . . for economic theory."
While economists treat rising marginal cost as the rule, 89% of firms
in the study reported marginal costs which were either constant or
declined with output. As for price elasticity, it is not a vital
operational concept for corporations. In other words, the "firms
that sell 40 percent of GDP believe their demand is totally
insensitive to price" while "only about one-sixth of GDP is sold
under conditions of elastic demand." [A.S. Blinder, E. Cabetti,
D. Lebow and J. Rudd, Asking About Prices, p. 102 and p. 101]
Thus empirical research has concluded that actual price setting has nothing
to do with clearing the market by equating market supply to market demand
(i.e. what economic theory sees as the role of prices). Rather, prices
are set to enable the firm to continue as a going concern and equating
supply and demand in any arbitrary period of time is irrelevant to a firm
which hopes to exist for the indefinite future. As Lee put it, basing
himself on extensive use of empirical research, "market prices are not
market-clearing or profit-maximising prices, but rather are enterprise-,
and hence transaction-reproducing prices." Rather than a non-existent
equilibrium or profit maximisation at a given moment determining prices,
the market price is "set and the market managed for the purpose of
ensuring continual transactions for those enterprises in the market,
that is for the benefit of the business leaders and their enterprises."
A significant proportion of goods have prices based on mark-up, normal
cost and target rate of return pricing procedures and are relatively
stable over time. Thus "the existence of stable, administered market
prices implies that the markets in which they exist are not organised
like auction markets or like the early retail markets and oriental
bazaars" as imagined in mainstream economic ideology. [Frederic S.
Lee, Post Keynesian Price Theory, p. 228 and p. 212]
Unsurprisingly, most of these researchers were highly critical the
conventional economic theory of markets and price setting. One viewed
the economists' concepts of perfect competition and monopoly as virtual
nonsense and "the product of the itching imaginations of uninformed and
inexperienced armchair theorisers." [Tucker, quoted by Lee, Op. Cit.,
p. 73f] Which was exactly how it was produced.
No other science would think it appropriate to develop theory utterly
independently of phenomenon under analysis. No other science would wait
decades before testing a theory against reality. No other science would
then simply ignore the facts which utterly contradicted the theory and
continue to teach that theory as if it were a valid generalisation of
the facts. But, then, economics is not a science.
This strange perspective makes sense once it is realised how key the
notion of diminishing costs is to economics. In fact, if the assumption
of increasing marginal costs is abandoned then so is perfect competition
and "the basis of which economic laws can be constructed . . . is shorn
away," causing the "wreckage of the greater part of general equilibrium
theory." This will have "a very destructive consequence for economic
theory," in the words of one leading neo-classical economist. [John
Hicks, Value and Capital, pp. 83-4] As Steve Keen notes, this is
extremely significant:
"Strange as it may seem . . . this is a very big deal. If marginal
returns are constant rather than falling, then the neo-classical
explanation of everything collapses. Not only can economic theory
no longer explain how much a firm produces, it can explain nothing
else.
"Take, for example, the economic theory of employment and wage
determination . . . The theory asserts that the real wage is
equivalent to the marginal product of labour . . . An employer
will employ an additional worker if the amount the worker adds
to output -- the worker's marginal product -- exceeds the real
wage . . . [This] explains the economic predilection for blaming
everything on wages being too high -- neo-classical economics
can be summed up, as [John Kenneth] Galbraith once remarked,
in the twin propositions that the poor don't work hard enough
because they're paid too much, and the rich don't work hard
enough because they're not paid enough . . .
"If in fact the output to employment relationship is relatively
constant, then the neo-classical explanation for employment and
output determination collapses. With a flat production function,
the marginal product of labour will be constant, and it will
never intersect the real wage. The output of the form then
can't be explained by the cost of employing labour. . . [This
means that] neo-classical economics simply cannot explain
anything: neither the level of employment, nor output, nor,
ultimately, what determines the real wage . . .the entire
edifice of economics collapses." [Debunking Economics,
pp. 76-7]
It should be noted that the empirical research simply confirmed
an earlier critique of neo-classical economics presented by
Piero Sraffa in 1926. He argued that while the neo-classical
model of production works in theory only if we accept its
assumptions. If those assumptions do not apply in practice,
then it is irrelevant. He therefore "focussed upon the economic
assumptions that there were 'factors of production' which were
fixed in the short run, and that supply and demand were
independent of each other. He argued that these two assumptions
could be fulfilled simultaneously. In circumstances where it
was valid to say some factor of production was fixed in the short
term, supply and demand could not independent, so that every
point on the supply curve would be associated with a different
demand curve. On the other hand, in circumstances where supply
and demand could justifiably be treated as independent, then it
would be impossible for any factor of production to be fixed.
Hence the marginal costs of production would be constant."
He stressed firms would have to be irrational to act otherwise,
foregoing the chance to make profits simply to allow economists
to build their models of how they should act. [Keen, Op. Cit.,
pp. 66-72]
Another key problem in economics is that of time. This has been known,
and admitted, by economists for some time. Marshall, for example, stated
that "the element of time" was "the source of many of the greatest
difficulties of economics." [Principles of Economics, p. 109] The
founder of general equilibrium theory, Walras, recognised that the
passage of time wrecked his whole model and stated that we "shall
resolve the . . . difficulty purely and simply by ignoring the time
element at this point." This was due, in part, because production
"requires a certain lapse of time." [Elements of Pure Economics,
p. 242] This was generalised by Gerard Debreu (in his Nobel Prize
for economics winning Theory of Value ) who postulated that everyone
makes their sales and purchases for all time in one instant.
Thus the cutting edge of neo-classical economics, general equilibrium
ignores both time and production. It is based on making time
stop, looking at finished goods, getting individuals to bid for
them and, once all goods are at equilibrium, allowing the transactions
to take place. For Walras, this was for a certain moment of time and
was repeated, for his followers it happened once for all eternity.
This is obviously not the way markets work in the real world and,
consequently, the dominant branch of economics is hardly scientific.
Sadly, the notion of individuals having full knowledge of both now
and the future crops up with alarming regularly in the "science"
of economics.
Even if we ignore such minor issues as empirical evidence and time,
economics has problems even with its favoured tool, mathematics. As
Steve Keen has indicated, economists have "obscured reality using
mathematics because they have practised mathematics badly, and
because they have not realised the limits of mathematics." indeed,
there are "numerous theorems in economics that reply upon
mathematically fallacious propositions." [Op. Cit., p. 258 and
p. 259] For a theory born from the desire to apply calculus to
economics, this is deeply ironic. As an example, Keen points to
the theory of perfect competition which assumes that while the
demand curve for the market as a whole is downward sloping, an
individual firm in perfect competition is so small that it cannot
affect the market price and, consequently, faces a horizontal
demand curve. Which is utterly impossible. In other words,
economics breaks the laws of mathematics.
These are just two examples, there are many, many more. However, these
two are pretty fundamental to the whole edifice of modern economic
theory. Much, if not most, of mainstream economics is based upon
theories which have little or no relation to reality. Kropotkin's
dismissal of "the metaphysical definitions of the academical
economists" is as applicable today. [Evolution and Environment,
p. 92] Little wonder dissident economist Nicholas Kaldor argued that:
"The Walrasian [i.e. general] equilibrium theory is a highly developed
intellectual system, much refined and elaborated by mathematical
economists since World War II -- an intellectual experiment . . . But
it does not constitute a scientific hypothesis, like Einstein's theory
of relativity or Newton's law of gravitation, in that its basic assumptions
are axiomatic and not empirical, and no specific methods have been put
forward by which the validity or relevance of its results could be tested.
The assumptions make assertions about reality in their implications, but
these are not founded on direct observation, and, in the opinion of
practitioners of the theory at any rate, they cannot be contradicted by
observation or experiment." [The Essential Kaldor, p. 416]
In a word, no. No economic system is simply the sum of its parts. The
idea that capitalism is based on the subjective evaluations of individuals
for goods flies in the face of both logic and the way capitalism works.
In other words, modern economists is based on a fallacy. While it would
be expected for critics of capitalism to conclude this, the ironic thing
is that economists themselves have proven this to be the case.
Neoclassical theory argues that marginal utility determines demand and
price, i.e. the price of a good is dependent on the intensity of demand
for the marginal unit consumed. This was in contrast to classic economics,
which argued that price (exchange value) was regulated by the cost of
production, ultimately the amount of labour used to create it. While
realistic, this had the political drawback of implying that profit,
rent and interest were the product of unpaid labour and so capitalism
was exploitative. This conclusion was quickly seized upon by numerous
critics of capitalism, including Proudhon and Marx. The rise of marginal
utility theory meant that such critiques could be ignored.
However, this change was not unproblematic. The most obvious problem with
it is that it leads to circular reasoning. Prices are supposed to measure
the "marginal utility" of the commodity, yet consumers need to know the
price first in order to evaluate how best to maximise their satisfaction.
Hence it "obviously rest[s] on circular reasoning. Although it tries to
explain prices, prices [are] necessary to explain marginal utility."
[Paul Mattick, Economics, Politics and the Age of Inflation, p.58]
In the end, as Jevons (one of the founders of the new economics)
acknowledged, the price of a commodity is the only test we have of the
utility of the commodity to the producer. Given that marginality utility
was meant to explain those prices, the failure of the theory could not
be more striking.
However, this is the least of its problems. At first, the neoclassical
economists used cardinal utility as their analysis tool. Cardinal utility
meant that it was measurable between individuals, i.e. that the utility
of a given good was the same for all. While this allowed prices to be
determined, it caused obvious political problems as it obviously justified
the taxation of the wealthy. As cardinal utility implied that the "utility"
of an extra dollar to a poor person was clearly greater than the loss of
one dollar to a rich man, it was appropriated by reformists precisely to
justify social reforms and taxation.
Capitalist economists had, yet again, created a theory that could be used
to attack capitalism and the income and wealth hierarchy it produces. As
with classical economics, socialists and other social reformists used the
new theories to do precisely that, appropriating it to justify the
redistribution of income and wealth downward (i.e. back into the hands of
the class who had created it in the first place). Combine this with
the high levels of class conflict at the time and it should come as
no surprise that the "science" of economics was suitably revised.
There was, of course, a suitable "scientific" rationale for this revision.
It was noted that as individual evaluations are inherently subjective,
it is obvious that cardinal utility was impossible in practice. Of
course, cardinality was not totally rejected. Neoclassical economics
retained the idea that capitalists maximise profits, which is a cardinal
quantity. However for demand utility became "ordinal," that is utility
was considered an individual thing and so could not be measured. This
resulted in the conclusion that there was no way of making interpersonal
comparisons between individuals and, consequently, no basis for saying
a pound in the hands of a poor person had more utility than if it had
remained in the pocket of a billionaire. The economic case for taxation
was now, apparently, closed. While you may think that income redistribution
was a good idea, it was now proven by "science" that this little more
than a belief as all interpersonal comparisons were now impossible.
That this was music to the ears of the wealthy was, of course, just
one of those strange co-incidences which always seems to plague
economic "science."
The next stage of the process was to abandon then ordinal utility in
favour of "indifference curves" (the continued discussion of "utility"
in economics textbooks is primarily heuristic). In this theory
consumers are supposed to maximise their utility by working out which
bundle of goods gives them the highest level of satisfaction based
on the twin constraints of income and given prices (let us forget, for
the moment, that marginal utility was meant to determines prices in the
first place). To do this, it is assumed that incomes and tastes are
independent and that consumers have pre-existing preferences for all
possible bundles.
This produces a graph that shows different quantities of two different goods,
with the "indifference curves" showing the combinations of goods which give
the consumer the same level of satisfaction (hence the name, as the consumer
is "indifferent" to any combination along the curve). There is also a straight
line representing relative prices and the consumer's income and this budget
line shows the uppermost curve the consumer can afford to reach. That these
indifference curves could not be observed was not an issue although leading
neo-classical economist Paul Samuelson provided an apparent means see these
curves by his concept of "revealed preference" (a basic tautology). There
is a reason why "indifference curves" cannot be observed. They are literally
impossible for human beings to calculate once you move beyond a trivially
small set of alternatives and it is impossible for actual people to act as
economists argue they do. Ignoring this slight problem, the "indifference
curve" approach to demand can be faulted for another, even more basic,
reason. It does not prove what it seeks to show:
"Though mainstream economics began by assuming that this hedonistic,
individualist approach to analysing consumer demand was intellectually
sound, it ended up proving that it was not. The critics were right:
society is more than the sum of its individual members." [Steve Keen,
Debunking Economics, p. 23]
As noted above, to fight the conclusion that redistributing wealth would
result in a different level of social well-being, economists had to show
that "altering the distribution of income did not alter social welfare.
They worked out that two conditions were necessary for this to be
true: (a) that all people have the same tastes; (b) that each person's
tastes remain the same as her income changes, so that every additional
dollar of income was spent exactly the same way as all previous dollars."
The former assumption "in fact amounts to assuming that there is only
one person in society" or that "society consists of a multitude of
identical drones" or clones. The latter assumption "amounts to assuming
that there is only one commodity -- since otherwise spending patterns
would necessary change as income rose." [Keen, Op. Cit., p. 24] This
is the real meaning of the assumption that all goods and consumers
can be considered "representative." Sadly, such individuals and goods
do not exist. Thus:
"Economics can prove that 'the demand curve slows downward in price'
for a single individual and a single commodity. But in a society
consisting of many different individuals with many different
commodities, the 'market demand curve' is more probably jagged, and
slopes every which way. One essential building block of the economic
analysis of markets, the demand curve, therefore does not have the
characteristics needed for economic theory to be internally
consistent . . . most mainstream academic economists are aware of
this problem, but they pretend that the failure can be managed with a
couple of assumptions. Yet the assumptions themselves are so absurd
that only someone with a grossly distorted sense of logic could accept
them. That grossly distorted sense of logic is acquired in the course of
a standard education in economics." [Op. Cit., pp. 25-7]
Rather than produce a "social indifference map which had the same
properties as the individual indifference maps" by adding up all the
individual maps, economics "proved that this consistent summation from
individual to society could not be achieved." Any sane person would
have rejected the theory at this stage, but not economists. Keen states
the obvious: "That economists, in general, failed to draw this inference
speaks volumes for the unscientific nature of economic theory." They
simply invented "some fudge to disguise the gapping hole they have
uncovered in the theory." [Op. Cit., p. 40 and p. 48] Ironically, it
took over one hundred years and advanced mathematical logic to reach
the same conclusion that the classical economists took for granted,
namely that individual utility could not be measured and compared.
However, instead of seeking exchange value (price) in the process of
production, neoclassical economists simply that made a few absurd
assumptions and continued on its way as if nothing was wrong.
This is important because "economists are trying to prove that a
market economy necessarily maximises social welfare. If they can't
prove that the market demand curve falls smoothly as price rises,
they can't prove that the market maximises social welfare." In
addition, "the concept of a social indifference curve is crucial
to many of the key notions of economics: the argument that free
trade is necessarily superior to regulated trade, for example,
is first constructed using a social indifference curve. Therefore,
if the concept of a social indifference curve itself is invalid,
then so too are many of the most treasured notions of economics."
[Keen, Op. Cit., p. 50] This means much of economic theory is
invalidated and with it the policy recommendations based on it.
This elimination of individual differences in favour of a society
of clones by marginalism is not restricted to demand. Take the
concept of the "representative firm" used to explain supply. Rather
than a theoretical device to deal with variety, it ignores diversity.
It is a heuristic concept which deals with a varied collection of
firms by identifying a single set of distinct characteristics which
are deemed to represent the essential qualities of the industry
as a whole. It is not a single firm or even a typical or average
firm. It is an imaginary firm which exhibits the "representative"
features of the entire industry, i.e. it treats an industry as if
it were just one firm. Moreover, it should be stressed that
this concept is driven by the needs to prove the model, not by any
concern over reality. The "real weakness" of the "representative
firm" in neo-classical economics is that it is "no more than
a firm which answers the requirements expected from it by the
supply curve" and because it is "nothing more than a small-scale
replica of the industry's supply curve that it is unsuitable for
the purpose it has been called into being." [Kaldor, The
Essential Kaldor, p. 50]
Then there is neoclassical analysis of the finance market. According
to the Efficient Market Hypothesis, information is disseminated
equally among all market participants, they all hold similar
interpretations of that information and all can get access to all
the credit they need at any time at the same rate. In other words,
everyone is considered to be identical in terms of what they know,
what they can get and what they do with that knowledge and cash.
This results in a theory which argues that stock markets accurately
price stocks on the basis of their unknown future earnings, i.e.
that these identical expectations by identical investors are correct.
In other words, investors are able to correctly predict the future
and act in the same way to the same information. Yet if everyone
held identical opinions then there would be no trading of shares
as trading obviously implies different opinions on how a stock
will perform. Similarly, in reality investors are credit rationed,
the rate of borrowing tends to rise as the amount borrowed increases
and the borrowing rate normally exceeds the leading rate. The
developer of the theory was honest enough to state that the "consequence
of accommodating such aspects of reality are likely to be disastrous
in terms of the usefulness of the resulting theory . . . The theory
is in a shambles." [W.F Sharpe, quoted by Keen, Op. Cit., p. 233]
Thus the world was turned into a single person simply to provide a
theory which showed that stock markets were "efficient" (i.e. accurately
reflect unknown future earnings). In spite of these slight problems,
the theory was accepted in the mainstream as an accurate reflection
of finance markets. Why? Well, the implications of this theory are
deeply political as it suggests that finance markets will never
experience bubbles and deep slumps. That this contradicts the
well-known history of the stock market was considered unimportant.
Unsurprisingly, "as time went on, more and more data turned up which
was not consistent with" the theory. This is because the model's
world "is clearly not our world." The theory "cannot apply in a
world in which investors differ in their expectations, in which the
future is uncertain, and in which borrowing is rationed." It
"should never have been given any credibility -- yet instead it
became an article of faith for academics in finance, and a
common belief in the commercial world of finance." [Keen, Op. Cit.,
p. 246 and p. 234]
This theory is at the root of the argument that finance markets should
be deregulated and as many funds as possible invested in them. While
the theory may benefit the minority of share holders who own
the bulk of shares and help them pressurise government policy, it
is hard to see how it benefits the rest of society. Alternative,
more realistic theories, argue that finance markets show endogenous
instability, result in bad investment as well as reducing the overall
level of investment as investors will not fund investments which are
not predicted to have a sufficiently high rate of return. All of
which has a large and negative impact on the real economy. Instead,
the economic profession embraced a highly unreal economic theory
which has encouraged the world to indulge in stock market
speculation as it argues that they do not have bubbles, booms
or bursts (that the 1990s stock market bubble finally burst like
many previous ones is unlikely to stop this). Perhaps this has to do
the implications for economic theory for this farcical analysis of
the stock market? As two mainstream economists put it:
"To reject the Efficient Market Hypothesis for the whole stock
market . . . implies broadly that production decisions based on
stock prices will lead to inefficient capital allocations. More
generally, if the application of rational expectations theory to
the virtually 'idea' conditions provided by the stock market fails,
then what confidence can economists have in its application to
other areas of economics . . . ?" [Marsh and Merton, quoted by
Doug Henwood, Wall Street, p. 161]
Ultimately, neoclassical economics, by means of the concept of
"representative" agent, has proved that subjective evaluations
could not be aggregated and, as a result, a market supply and
demand curves cannot be produced. In other words, neoclassical
economics has shown that if society were comprised of one individual,
buying one good produced by one factory then it could accurately reflect
what happened in it. "It is stating the obvious," states Keen, "to
call the representative agent an 'ad hoc' assumption, made simply
so that economists can pretend to have a sound basis for their
analysis, when in reality they have no grounding whatsoever."
[Op. Cit., p. 188]
There is a certain irony about the change from cardinal to ordinal
utility and finally the rise of the impossible nonsense which are
"indifference curves." While these changes were driven by the need
to deny the advocates of redistributive taxation policies the mantel
of economic science to justify their schemes, the fact is by rejecting
cardinal utility, it becomes impossible to say whether state action
like taxes decreases utility at all. With ordinal utility and its
related concepts, you cannot actually show that government intervention
actually harms "social utility." All you can say is that they are
indeterminate. While the rich may lose income and the poor gain, it
is impossible to say anything about social utility without making an
interpersonal (cardinal) utility comparison. Thus, ironically, ordinal
utility based economics provides a much weaker defence of free market
capitalism by removing the economist of the ability to call any act of
government "inefficient" and they would have to be evaluated in, horror
of horrors, non-economic terms. As Keen notes, it is "ironic that this
ancient defence of inequality ultimately backfires on economics, by
making its impossible to construct a market demand curve which is
independent on the distribution of income . . . economics cannot defend
any one distribution of income over any other. A redistribution of
income that favours the poor over the rich cannot be formally
opposed by economic theory." [Op. Cit., p. 51]
Neoclassical economics has also confirmed that the classical perspective
of analysing society in terms of classes is also more valid than the
individualistic approach it values. As one leading neo-classical economist
has noted, if economics is "to progress further we may well be forced
to theorise in terms of groups who have collectively coherent behaviour."
Moreover, the classical economists would not be surprised by the
admission that "the addition of production can help" economic analysis
nor the conclusion that the "idea that we should start at the level of
the isolated individual is one which we may well have to abandon . . .
If we aggregate over several individuals, such a model is unjustified."
[Alan Kirman, "The Intrinsic Limits of Modern Economy Theory", pp. 126-139,
The Economic Journal, Vol. 99, No. 395, p. 138, p. 136 and p. 138]
So why all the bother? Why spend over 100 years driving economics into
a dead-end? Simply because of political reasons. The advantage of
the neoclassical approach was that it abstracted away from production
(where power relations are clear) and concentrated on exchange (where
power works indirectly). As libertarian Marxist Paul Mattick notes,
the "problems of bourgeois economics seemed to disappear as soon as one
ignored production and attended only to the market . . . Viewed apart from
production, the price problem can be dealt with purely in terms of the
market." [Economic Crisis and Crisis Theory, p. 9] By ignoring
production, the obvious inequalities of power produced by the dominant
social relations within capitalism could be ignored in favour of
looking at abstract individuals as buyers and sellers. That this meant
ignoring such key concepts as time by forcing economics into a static,
freeze frame, model of the economy was a price worth paying as it
allowed capitalism to be justified as the best of all possible worlds:
"On the one hand, it was thought essential to represent the winning of
profit, interest, and rent as participation in the creation of wealth.
On the other, it was thought desirable to found the authority of economics
on the procedures of natural science. This second desire prompted a search
for general economic laws independent of time and circumstances. If such
laws could be proven, the existing society would thereby be legitimated
and every idea of changing it refuted. Subjective value theory promised
to accomplish both tasks at once. Disregarding the exchange relationship
peculiar to capitalism -- that between the sellers and buyers of labour
power -- it could explain the division of the social product, under
whatever forms, as resulting from the needs of the exchangers themselves."
[Mattick, Op. Cit., p. 11]
The attempt to ignore production implied in capitalist economics comes
from a desire to hide the exploitative and class nature of capitalism.
By concentrating upon the "subjective" evaluations of individuals,
those individuals are abstracted away from real economic activity (i.e.
production) so the source of profits and power in the economy can be
ignored (section C.2 indicates why exploitation of labour in production
is the source of profit, interest and rent and not exchanges in the
market).
Hence the flight from classical economics to the static, timeless
world of individuals exchanging pre-existing goods on the market. The
evolution of capitalist economics has always been towards removing any
theory which could be used to attack capitalism. Thus classical economics
was rejected in favour of utility theory once socialists and anarchists
used it to show that capitalism was exploitative. Then this utility theory
was modified over time in order to purge it of undesirable political
consequences. In so doing, they ended up not only proving that an economics
based on individualism was impossible but also that it cannot be used to
oppose redistribution policies after all.
The dominant form of economic analysis since the 1880s has been equilibrium
analysis. While equilibrium had been used by classical economics to explain
what regulated market prices, it did not consider it as reflecting any real
economy. This was because classical economics analysed capitalism as a
mode of production rather than as a mode of exchange, as a mode of
circulation, as neo-classical economics does. It looked at the process of
creating products while neo-classical economics looked at the price
ratios between already existing goods (this explains why neo-classical
economists have such a hard time understanding classical or Marxist
economics, the schools are talking about different things and why they
tend to call any market system "capitalism" regardless of whether wage
labour predominates of not). The classical school is based on an analysis
of markets based on production of commodities through time. The
neo-classical school is based on an analysis of markets based on the
exchange of the goods which exist at any moment of time.
This indicates what is wrong with equilibrium analysis, it is essentially
a static tool used to analyse a dynamic system. It assumes stability
where none exists. Capitalism is always unstable, always out of equilibrium,
since "growing out of capitalist competition, to heighten exploitation,
. . . the relations of production . . . [are] in a state of perpetual
transformation, which manifests itself in changing relative prices of
goods on the market. Therefore the market is continuously in
disequilibrium, although with different degrees of severity, thus giving
rise, by its occasional approach to an equilibrium state, to the illusion
of a tendency toward equilibrium." [Mattick, Op. Cit., p. 51] Given
this obvious fact of the real economy, it comes as no surprise that
dissident economists consider equilibrium analysis as "a major
obstacle to the development of economics as a science -- meaning
by the term 'science' a body of theorems based on assumptions that are
empirically derived (from observations) and which embody hypotheses that
are capable of verification both in regard to the assumptions and the
predictions." [Kaldor, The Essential Kaldor, p. 373]
Thus the whole concept is an unreal rather than valid abstraction of
reality. Sadly, the notions of "perfect competition" and (Walrasian) "general
equilibrium" are part and parcel of neoclassical economics. It attempts
to show, in the words of Paul Ormerod, "that under certain assumptions the
free market system would lead to an allocation of a given set of resources
which was in a very particular and restricted sense optimal from the point
of view of every individual and company in the economy." [The Death
of Economics, p. 45] This was what Walrasian general equilibrium proved.
However, the assumptions required prove to be somewhat unrealistic (to
understate the point). As Ormerod points out:
"[i]t cannot be emphasised too strongly that . . . the competitive model
is far removed from being a reasonable representation of Western
economies in practice. . . [It is] a travesty of reality. The world
does not consist, for example, of an enormous number of small firms,
none of which has any degree of control over the market . . . The
theory introduced by the marginal revolution was based upon a series
of postulates about human behaviour and the workings of the economy.
It was very much an experiment in pure thought, with little empirical
rationalisation of the assumptions." [Op. Cit., p. 48]
Indeed, "the weight of evidence" is "against the validity of the model
of competitive general equilibrium as a plausible representation of
reality." [Op. Cit., p. 62] For example, to this day, economists
still start with the assumption of a multitude of firms, even worse, a
"continuum" of them exist in every market. How many markets are there
in which there is an infinite number of traders? This means that from
the start the issues and problems associated with oligopoly and imperfect
competition have been abstracted from. This means the theory does not
allow one to answer interesting questions which turn on the asymmetry of
information and bargaining power among economic agents, whether due
to size, or organisation, or social stigmas, or whatever else. In the
real world, oligopoly is common place and asymmetry of information and
bargaining power the norm. To abstract from these means to present an
economic vision at odds with the reality people face and, therefore,
can only propose solutions which harm those with weaker bargaining
positions and without information.
General equilibrium is an entirely static concept, a market marked
by perfect knowledge and so inhabited by people who are under no
inducement or need to act. It is also timeless, a world without a
future and so with no uncertainty (any attempt to include time, and
so uncertainty, ensures that the model ceases to be of value). At
best, economists include "time" by means of comparing one static
state to another, i.e. "the features of one non-existent equilibrium
were compared with those of a later non-existent equilibrium." [Mattick,
Op. Cit., p. 22] How the economy actually changed from one stable
state to another is left to the imagination. Indeed, the idea of
any long-run equilibrium is rendered irrelevant by the movement
towards it as the equilibrium also moves. Unsurprisingly, therefore,
to construct an equilibrium path through time requires all prices for
all periods to be determined at the start and that everyone foresees
future prices correctly for eternity -- including for goods not
invented yet. Thus the model cannot easily or usefully account for
the reality that economic agents do not actually know such things as
future prices, future availability of goods, changes in production
techniques or in markets to occur in the future, etc. Instead, to
achieve its results -- proofs about equilibrium conditions -- the
model assumes that actors have perfect knowledge at least of the
probabilities of all possible outcomes for the economy. The opposite
is obviously the case in reality:
"Yet the main lessons of these increasingly abstract and unreal
theoretical constructions are also increasingly taken on trust
. . . It is generally taken for granted by the great majority
of academic economists that the economy always approaches, or
is near to, a state of 'equilibrium' . . . all propositions
which the pure mathematical economist has shown to be valid
only on assumptions that are manifestly unreal -- that is to
say, directly contrary to experience and not just 'abstract.'
In fact, equilibrium theory has reached the stage where the
pure theorist has successfully (though perhaps inadvertently)
demonstrated that the main implications of this theory cannot
possibly hold in reality, but has not yet managed to pass his
message down the line to the textbook writer and to the classroom."
[Kaldor, Op. Cit., pp. 376-7]
In this timeless, perfect world, "free market" capitalism will prove
itself an efficient method of allocating resources and all markets will
clear. In part at least, General Equilibrium Theory is an abstract answer
to an abstract and important question: Can an economy relying only on
price signals for market information be orderly? The answer of general
equilibrium is clear and definitive -- one can describe such an economy
with these properties. However, no actual economy has been described and,
given the assumptions involved, none could ever exist. A theoretical
question has been answered involving some amount of intellectual
achievement, but it is a answer which has no bearing to reality. And
this is often termed the "high theory" of equilibrium. Obviously most
economists must treat the real world as a special case.
Little wonder, then, that Kaldor argued that his "basic objection
to the theory of general equilibrium is not that it is abstract --
all theory is abstract and must necessarily be so since there can
be no analysis without abstraction -- but that it starts from the
wrong kind of abstraction, and therefore gives a misleading
'paradigm' . . . of the world as it is; it gives a misleading
impression of the nature and the manner of operation of economic
forces." Moreover, belief that equilibrium theory is the only
starting point for economic analysis has survived |